Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1090.088475 1227.664805 1377.482554 1552.997239 1753.299090 1975.129358 2239.920498
2026-02-08 879.349299 1066.605441 1287.654600 1568.944121 1918.926779 2342.048532 2895.378293
2026-02-15 760.391308 970.391476 1232.455513 1585.749404 2052.984001 2654.428994 3494.815635
2026-02-22 682.607671 907.588535 1201.284948 1616.374703 2193.719687 2976.815364 4133.871032
2026-03-01 599.688831 824.830567 1129.932095 1578.518579 2229.535359 3152.685977 4583.601882
2026-03-08 529.322498 749.760573 1058.361880 1528.068161 2235.751071 3279.633200 4968.556855
2026-03-15 471.216837 685.173834 993.538187 1477.719401 2232.352566 3386.188923 5327.860908
2026-03-22 447.333955 667.535412 994.192087 1523.278839 2376.430951 3729.073107 6098.144031
2026-03-29 420.276567 642.087939 979.885057 1542.782887 2479.288172 4014.713639 6805.916113
2026-04-05 394.152928 615.411178 960.660874 1551.397489 2563.398844 4275.765817 7500.291309
2026-04-12 370.869996 591.000732 942.444427 1559.009240 2645.028697 4538.819875 8227.804780
2026-04-19 355.824888 578.515052 942.151542 1596.090283 2780.202784 4908.094284 9196.546796
2026-04-26 339.537843 563.041016 936.211932 1623.952016 2903.979828 5274.474718 10218.240629
2026-05-03 322.623840 545.140762 924.630429 1640.636773 3008.997598 5617.861045 11242.996351
2026-05-10 307.448050 528.918362 914.381378 1658.285441 3116.779969 5977.142201 12348.459477
2026-05-17 295.764966 517.863775 912.220338 1690.449537 3255.377654 6411.951685 13675.735375
2026-05-24 274.927466 488.616227 874.526949 1650.691717 3245.634545 6541.329439 14341.422697
2026-05-31 254.221461 458.092742 832.099320 1597.713860 3203.060122 6596.016621 14841.362978
2026-06-07 235.334584 429.657273 791.515296 1544.850864 3155.300585 6633.765300 15305.497751
2026-06-14 230.215028 426.984537 800.049944 1592.685024 3327.329127 7174.335977 17068.897556
2026-06-21 222.195049 418.099274 795.705942 1613.164927 3441.305686 7596.280747 18598.710443
2026-06-28 213.453140 407.164733 786.425956 1622.210932 3530.322080 7969.975575 20060.105828
2026-07-05 205.187918 396.600465 777.083200 1630.204060 3617.534535 8348.996951 21593.957690